The pre-election period in Greece is close to its end as the law bans the disclosure of poll results two weeks before the elections. Kappa Research recent analysis of public attitudes on the outcome of the election made on Friday night indicated that New Democracy is leading with 25% of the vote. SYRIZA is next with a slight difference, seeming to be the main preference of young people. In the age group up to 35 years, SYRIZA gained about 30% in the region of Attica whereas New Democracy gained 26%. PASOK relies only on its constant electorate and cannot surpass the 13% limit.
The situation of Independent Greeks, the Greek Communist Party (KKE) and Golden Dawn seems unclear, as it is not known how the cards will stack. Obscure is the picture in terms of the percentages Fotis Kouvelis’ Democratic Left is expected to receive. Some polls indicated that it will leap forward in the elections on 17 June and others reported the opposite.
It appears that from the parties that remained outside parliament in the 6 May elections, the Liberal Alliance of Drasi and ReCreate Greece has a chance to win. Recent polls indicated that LAOS, Green environmentalists and other smaller parties will not be able to cross the 3% limit and will remain outside the National Assembly again. Local political analysts said that people should not blindly trust the polls because in the recent elections, they proved quite different from the results of the vote counting. "The political scene is still very unclear and a large percentage of voters have not yet decided with what ballot they will vote," said analysts to to Vima newspaper. They found that citizens have three basic dilemmas for the coming elections: 1. Staying within the euro or returning to the drachma. 2. Cancelling or implementing the Memorandum of financial assistance and the measures it brings. 3. Government headed by SYRIZA or New Democracy.
The position undecided voters will take on these three main issues will determine their vote after ten days. The debate between Antonis Samaras and Alexis Tsipras scheduled for 11 June will give to one of the two political concepts the last chance to capture the votes of thoswho e have not yet made a decision, analysts said. After it, the balance will tip to one of the two major trends that will provide a significant advantage for SYRIZA or New Democracy. This can minimize the need for forming a broad coalition and then, the weight of smaller parties will be measured on the political scene. If one of the three secondary forces (PASOK, Democratic Left and Independent Greeks) jumped over 7%, it could become a major coalition partner of the leading party and Greece would finally have a government. The real problem will be if the possible coalition partner has less than 6.5%. Then, Greece may fall into a deadlock similar to that of May, which could prove fatal for the country this time.