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Greece will vote for local government and the European Parliament on Sunday

24 May 2014 / 13:05:01  GRReporter
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There is growing pressure in terms of the crucial electoral battle on Sunday, which will decide the future not only of the municipalities, counties and the European parliament, but also of the political scene in the country.

Prime Minister Antonis Samaras and SYRIZA President Alexis Tsipras ended their campaign appearances on Syntagma Square and in Iraklion, respectively, and are now expecting the results.

The battle on Sunday will be divided into three fronts, and the results in the municipality of Athens, Attica, and mainly of the European elections will be crucial for the future of the country.

New Democracy is seeking "convincing" rates for the European elections with a view towards Attica

The most important thing for New Democracy and Samaras is not to get low rates in the European elections, as well as no major difference with SYRIZA, bearing in mind that recent polls show a lead for the opposition.

Elia’s rates will also play an important role, since Evangelos Venizelos associates the election results directly with the participation in the government. The aim of the government is for New Democracy and PASOK to not reach lower overall rates than SYRIZA.

As for the second round of local elections, the government wins in most regions and municipalities and it has concentrated on Attica. In Athens, candidates of the party did not reach the second round, but this was not considered a loss because Sgouros and Kaminis have the support of the party for Sunday, since New Democracy does not want the largest municipality to go into the hands of SYRIZA.

SYRIZA is expecting a reversal of results

In turn, Alexis Tsipras and SYRIZA give priority to the European elections first, and then to Attica.

According to all recent polls, the party ranks first for the European elections, and it expects a difference of more than 3 points compared to New Democracy. Tsipras is doubly interested in the European elections, since he is a candidate for President of the European Commission.

As for the local elections, after the first round, SYRIZA believes that it can reverse things mainly in the Municipality of Athens with Gabriel Sakelaridis and then in the Athens region with Rena Dourou.

It is certain that in the event that SYRIZA wins the largest region in Greece, it will put the issue of new parliamentary elections even more strongly.

Undecided voters and voters for Golden Dawn

Undecided voters, who are a large percentage, will play a major role in the outcome of the European elections.

If they vote at the last minute, they will choose one of the two major parties.

In the second round of local elections, the "main" characters from last week - voters for Golden Dawn - will play a crucial role. The far-right party does not want to dictate who they should vote for and announced that the party does not support any candidate. It is not known, however, what its voters will do.

Which are the possible scenarios after Sunday?

Based on the battle for the European parliament, the possible scenarios for the next day are three:

  • A victory for SYRIZA with a big difference compared to New Democracy. This will create frictions in the governing coalition, and depending on the results of Elia, the likelihood of early elections;
  • A victory for SYRIZA with a small difference. If the rates of the two parties are similar, the government will not think of new elections;
  • A victory for New Democracy. SYRIZA will go into a new stage of isolation and the likelihood of new elections will decrease. 
Tags: local elections European elections European Parliament New Democracy SYRIZA
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